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Mathematical Epidemiology and Evaluation Research Group

In the Mathematical Epidemiology and Evaluation Research Group, we use mathematical modelling, data analysis, and other quantitative methods to investigate infectious disease dynamics at the population level. These methods are used to understand the trajectories and burden of infectious diseases and to evaluate the potential impact of public health interventions. 

We are part of the Surveillance, Evaluation and Research Program (SERP) and are responsible for producing annual estimates of Australia's Diagnosis and Care Cascades for the Annual Surveillance Report. We collaborate with many of the Kirby Institute's programs and work closely with government and community stakeholders to address specific research questions of relevance to the blood borne viruses and STIs sector and assess progress towards strategy and elimination targets. 

We also conduct research into the impact of climate change on infectious diseases and the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within high-risk and vulnerable populations and settings such as prisons. We collaborate extensively with other national and international modelling groups.